What Can We Learn From Past Melbourne Cup Results?

| November 8, 2019
2019 Melbourne Cup winner
The 2019 Melbourne Cup was won by the Australia-bred and -trained horse, Vow and Declare.

Betting on the Melbourne Cup is always a nerve-wracking affair. This year’s instalment of the great Australian horse race was no different. With legendary riders banned and the runner-up demoted, it shows that there are few things more unpredictable than the Melbourne Cup. So what can you do to ensure that you don’t make any newbie errors when taking a flutter on this iconic horse race? 

Getting The Basics Right 

While it’s easy to put all your efforts into making your Melbourne Cup predictions, it’s equally important to search around for a suitable Australian bookmaker. Thankfully there are many quality online resources that provide an overview of the best betting sites in Australia. This makes it simple to find anything from a high odds guaranteed deal, to betting apps to help you browse the latest Melbourne Cup odds while out and about.

Similarly, there is no shortage to the amount of research that you should be doing into the history of the runners. By looking at the most promising yearlings featured on events like the Australia Easter Sale, to examining how particular trainers deliver most Melbourne Cup winners, anything can help you make a reasonably assured bet on any top Australian horse race. 

Don’t Be Swayed By The Betting Odds

Most horse racing fans will be guilty of spending too much time examining all of the horse racing odds in that offer. That can often lead us into placing bets on the runners that the bookmakers fancy, rather than the horses that we think could give us a winning result.

If you look at the past ten years of Melbourne Cup races, you can see that only one favourite won this horse racing event. That was when Fiorente won the 2013 Melbourne Cup at odds of 13/2. Clearly, it pays to factor in who the bookmakers are rating for such momentous horse races. But with 24 runners in each Melbourne Cup, it’s clear that there is a wide variety of factors that can influence the winning result.

Remember That Lightning Rarely Strikes Twice 

It’s also important to remember that bookmakers and tipsters put in a considerable amount of effort into making their predictions. As such it’s highly unlikely that a rank outsider is going to be able to win a historic race like Melbourne Cup. Indeed, there have been plenty of big upsets in this race, with the likes of Prince of Penzance winning the 2015 Melbourne Cup at very long odds of 100/1.

Such results are often newsworthy mainly when they get combined with facts that Prince of Penzance had a female jockey. But it’s always best to stay dubious with your horse racing betting and remember that, at the moment, such results are the exception to the rule.

Keep An Eye On The Close Contenders 

This year’s Melbourne Cup was won by Vow and Declare at odds of 10/1. Remarkably in the past 13 years, there have been many Melbourne Cup winners with such odds. Shocking won in the 2009 race at odds of 9/1, Americain won in 2010 at odds of 12/1, Almandin won in 2016 at 10/1, and Cross Counter triumphed in 2018 at odds of 11/1. All of which shows just how important it is to research the runners who are just outside the bookmakers’ favourites.

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